Author Archive

The Potential of Cross-Investing in India and Pakistan

Monday, August 2nd, 2010

Photo Credit: Kuni Takahashi for The New York Times

As an Acumen Portfolio Manager in Pakistan, I was really interested in this article that ran recently in the New York Times. Considering some of Acumen’s investments in Pakistan, particularly those in the agricultural sector like Jassar and Micro Drip, I think one key point mentioned in this article is that 40% of water is lost even before it reaches the roots of a plant. This fact points to the importance of efficient irrigation solutions. The role of the private sector becomes elevated when you have the opportunity to introduce innovative solutions to minimize water wastage, such as the example of drip irrigation. While these solutions can delay the inevitable need for more water, the political and legal battles will need to be fought at international forums to settle the dispute.

In my view, if only Indians and Pakistanis are allowed to invest across the border, it would create a powerful vested interest in each of the two nations that would be sensitive to the prosperity of the ‘other’, and that would allow us to view success and wealth-creation as a shared goal rather than a mutually-exclusive one.

Noor Ullah is a Portfolio Manager in Acumen’s Pakistan office.

Bargaining power: why the poor are still losing out in the market system

Wednesday, November 18th, 2009

There are two key drivers of the welfare of small dairy farmers: milk productivity of their cattle and the price per liter of milk that they can fetch.

While the productivity of cattle can be enhanced by improving the gene pool of cattle through artificial insemination, providing better quality feed and improving the farm management practices, increasing the revenue per liter of milk sold would require relatively more radical changes in the value chain of the dairy industry.

With the price for milk, small farmers face a daunting challenge. They own less than 5 heads of cattle individually and are scattered across the rural landscape – hence their bargaining power versus the middleman and the milk processor is substantially less. Also, the small dairy farmer especially in the rural areas do not have direct access to markets where milk can be sold and neither do they have the capital to invest in chillers to prevent milk from souring. Hence, they are compelled to sell their daily produce to the middlemen at relatively low prices. While more and more middlemen have been knocking on the farmers’ doors for their milk produce owing to the surge in demand for quality milk and value added dairy products in the fast modernizing urban centers of Pakistan, the competition between middlemen and processors has hardly benefited the small, rural farmer. This has been because of a silent cartelization amongst the middlemen who ensure that the status quo on the offer price to the small farmer remains intact for the collective benefit of their trade-men.

In Pakistan, it is estimated that the small farmer gets only 30% of the retail price of the milk produced, but in neighboring India, the tale has changed over the last several years. With the success of dairy cooperatives, like Amul, Indian dairy farmers fetch up to 70% of the retail price of the milk produced. This has meant increased prosperity for the small dairy farmer.

While the global prices for milk have plummeted this year with prices falling from $19 to $11 per 100 pounds between July 2008 and July 2009, milk prices in Pakistan have been on the increase due to a huge gap between supply & demand. Nonetheless, the rewards of this price increase have benefited large farmers more than the small ones as is typical in our ‘non-market functioning’ of the ‘market system’. With the structure of economic muscle heavily tilted in favor of the middlemen and the milk processors, the rewards of this price increase have not been distributed equally. Larger size dairy farms set up by deep pocket investors have bargained for significantly higher prices to sell their milk to large milk processors with the threat of directly entering the retail market as a competitor brand. On the other hand, the prices for the small farmers have remained sticky given their weak bargaining position.

This situation calls for a replication of the cooperative model in Pakistan. This is where the role of not-for-profit local community organizations in organizing farmers needs to be leveraged. An effort in this regard is being made by the Pakistan Dairy Development Company (PDDC) however, the focus there is more on mid-sized farmers with 20 or more cattle than on the small farmers with 4-6 cattle.

While efforts towards enhancing the productivity of livestock farmers are important, efforts around altering the relative bargaining power of the small farmers versus the middlemen is also critical to ensuring a more equitable distribution of economic benefits.

The movement towards using market based approaches to solve problems of poverty seems to be gaining increasing momentum and the idea of pushing the frontiers of the market systems into the realm of poverty alleviation (beyond profit maximization) seems to serve a noble cause, however, we, as global partners in this movement, can also significantly address the chronic problems of poverty by attempting to ‘fix’ the ills that have crept into the functioning of the market system itself and which prevent an equitable distribution of economic benefits. The important question then becomes, to what extent can market based (as opposed to regulatory) approaches be used to address some of these ‘non-competitive practices’ prevalent in the ‘market system’? What can we do using market based tools to create a more equitable distribution of welfare?

In my view, the movement should be redefined to include not only pushing out the frontiers of the market system to address problems of poverty but also moving the market system itself closer to its ideal, where the distribution of economic benefits is more equitable.

Also, while we attempt to use market based solutions to solve problems of poverty, we need to increasingly leverage the impressive work that some of the non-profits have done in organizing and uplifting of poor communities. These non-profits often provide the most effective and cost efficient channels of reaching these impoverished communities and organizing them as a collective, as we are increasingly seeing with some of our investments in Pakistan e.g., FMiA, the micro-health insurance agency depends on Local Support Organizations in the Northern Areas of Pakistan to market and distribute critical health insurance products; also Thardeep Rural Development Program (an NGO) working in the most impoverished areas of Sindh, Pakistan is a key distribution partner for Micro Drip which is attempting to sell low cost drip irrigation to small farmers which should help them increase their output by at least 50%.

The success of some of the new market based solutions will depend quite heavily on leveraging the infrastructure of non-profit community organizations and hence this movement should be seen as more of enhancing the welfare of the poor through building bridges between the world of market based solutions and non-market solutions rather than an encroachment of a new ideology over a traditional one.

Pakistan’s dairy farms bucking a global trend

Thursday, October 8th, 2009

This NYTimes article discusses how a great technological break-through in breeding inputs can potentially harm the dairy industry during these times of recession. While global milk prices have tumbled during the last year or so, due to the global economic recession, more and more cows and hence milk is being produced as a result of the use of “sexed semen,” which allows for the birth of more female (i.e., milk-producing) calves.

However, in sharp contrast to global trends, in Pakistan, during the last four months, we have seen milk prices rise by at least 10%, generating a buzz in the industry with investors lining up to set up dairy farms. This is primarily because there exists a huge gap between demand and supply for processed milk in Pakistan. While the annual increase in the demand for processed milk is over 20%, the annual increase in supply is only 5%, thus driving up milk prices. This increase in milk prices in Pakistan is also incrementally altering the way the poor farmers view their livestock. Historically, livestock has been viewed as a mode of savings and a store of wealth for the poor. However, this perception is changing rapidly with farmers beginning to view their cattle holding as an increasingly viable revenue generator and a net contributor to the household income. This is leading them to take increasing interest in the well-being and efficient management of their cattle to maximize the income from milk sales. So, while the fortunes of dairy farmers globally are going through a rough patch, the poor dairy farmers in Pakistan seem to be eyeing a new ray of hope in their cattle.

Jassar Farms, Acumen’s first investment in livestock, has been one of the early adopters in the use of sexed semen in Pakistan. We have seen a success rate of over 85% with its use — with the first generation of calves projected to come into milk production during the 2nd half of FY10. This will be a key milestone in the country’s dairy industry and one of the first successful experiments with the use of sexed semen in the private sector.

A Beacon of Hope

Tuesday, May 27th, 2008

Editor’s Note: New contributor Noor Ullah is a Portfolio Associate based out of Acumen Fund’s Pakistan office. Before joining Acumen Fund, Ullah served as a consultant for the World Bank, and as a business development consultant for a number of multinationals and private enterprises. He holds a B.A. from Lahore University of Management Sciences.

Sehat FirstLast month, Sehat First (“sehat” means “health” in Urdu) opened its doors to patients for the first time in the village of Chasma Goth, a peri-urban area of Karachi. In the first two days, they treated over 22 patients and had sales over 3,000 Rupees! One of the patients at the clinic remarked, “You are all angels, sent to answer our prayers.”

Sehat First is a new social enterprise that provides quality health consultation and pharmacy services to lower income communities. Each clinic provides health consultancy services to patients using an e-sehat (health) tele-consulting application that remotely links up doctors and specialists with their patients via internet in the poorest of the poor suburbs of Karachi.

Despite challenging conditions, Shahida Saleem, President of d.o.t.z technologies, is up-beat that the Sehat First outlets will help create a more healthy community together with ensuring financial sustainability for the enterprise. Such enterprises provide critical services to impoverished communities in Pakistan, where there is a substantial need for cost-effective, high quality healthcare at the bottom of the pyramid.

With Acumen Fund’s support, Sehat First has the potential to transform the delivery of healthcare to a population who previously did not have access to such services. Acumen Fund’s assistance will help the enterprise increase outreach and expand into more communities in the months and years ahead.