Arvind Gopal is a Columbia Business School student working with the East Africa Agriculture Portfolio Team this summer. At Columbia, he has focused on international development. He is currently VP of Investments for Microlumbia, a student-run fund focused on making debt investments in microfinance organizations. Additionally, he provided consulting advice to Broad Cove Partners, a Boston-based social venture fund, on a potential investment opportunity in a Liberian mortgage finance business. Prior to business school, Arvind held various positions in the U.S. and Singapore. He worked in New York in investment banking at Bear Stearns, before moving to Lightyear Capital, a private equity firm focused on the financial services sector. In Singapore he worked at Argus Software, a real estate software provider, guiding their business development in Asia.

I have spent the past few weeks researching the agriculture market in Kenya with the objective of identifying sustainable business models that could help the country’s ~6 million smallholder farmers and their families (~30m people), most of whom live in extreme or near extreme poverty. One of the largest bottlenecks in the agriculture supply chain is access to credit. A survey conducted in 2007 by the Tegemeo Research Institute of Agriculture Policy and Development revealed that only 30% of the country’s smallholder farmers have access to any kind of credit. After several visits to farmers across the country, I began to understand this reality. Formal financial institutions are between 30 km and 50 km away from the farms and in many cases, will not lend to the farmers I interviewed. As a result, the majority of these farmers receive credit through either input providers (fertilizer and seed companies) or informal groups. The credit available through these channels is usually small and short term and limits farmers’ investments in the essential ingredients needed to increase their productivity. Based on this information, I decided to take a deeper look on why microfinance institutions have had such a limited impact in the agriculture sector. I found some interesting data points, both from a global and East Africa perspective.

Microfinance has received a lot of attention over the past few years and rightfully so. Since Muhammad Yunus started the Grameen Bank in 1976, microfinance has helped millions of people access credit across the developing world. In 2006 alone, over 100 million micro-borrowers accessed about US$25 billion in loans (Deutsche Bank Microfinance Report, December 2007). The industry has even shown surprising resilience to the global financial crisis, which has brought down some the world’s largest financial institutions.

While the success of microfinance is undisputable, a huge funding gap remains and the market is still substantially underserved (market demand is estimated at over 1 billion borrowers world wide). A part of this gap will be filled with the growth of the current microfinance model, but we will also need new innovative approaches in order to provide access to rest of the BoP. The dominant microfinance models of today depend on small, short-term and high interest rate loans to assure strong repayments and cover operating costs. Some key success factors for this model include higher population densities and portfolio diversification. In contrast, much of today’s poor lives in rural areas and relies mostly on agriculture to generate income. These borrowers typically need larger loans with longer durations that coincide with crop cycles. Additionally, the returns generated by farmers are lower than that of micro-enterprises, and high interest rates of 2% to 4% per month erode farmers’ incomes, causing them to become trapped in poverty. These loans are inherently riskier to microfinance institutions because they are longer in duration, sensitive to weather conditions and international food prices, and limit loan diversification. Considerable agriculture expertise is needed to due-diligence loan applicants, monitor existing loans and train farmers on best practices including negotiating input prices and finding markets for their products.

In Kenya, the microfinance model has been very successful in urban areas – enough so that commercial banks are now reentering the high-end of the microfinance market as they recognize the income-generating potential and stability of this group. However, only 0.8% of smallholder farmers have access to credit through microfinance institutions — surprisingly, more farmers access credit through commercial banks (about 1%) than microfinance institutions. Equity Bank, a Kenyan commercial bank focused on the lower-income population, has made some inroads in rural areas through innovative approaches like mobile banking that have reduced the costs of conducting business in sparsely populated areas and allowed it to disburse longer-term loans at 1% monthly interest rates. However, most of their loans target rural enterprises and not farmers. Almost all the farmers, research analysts and MFI consultants I spoke with agreed that a better system has to be developed in order to reach the majority of small farmers.

Microfinance organizations, commercial banks, government organizations and NGOs in Kenya have all spent considerable time trying to develop a model that effectively targets the agriculture sector. As a result, a few innovative approaches that have focused on asset leasing and microfinance linkages with other parts of the agriculture value chain such as input providers and distributors of agriculture products have emerged in recent years. While these strategies are still in their early stages, the models are likely to address the limitations of today’s microfinance institutions and could provide future investment opportunities for Acumen Fund and others in this space.